Jeff Mills

Jeff A Mills

Professor

Professional Summary

Jeff Mills is Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Cincinnati. He has been at the University of Cincinnati since 1992. Dr. Mills has published articles in some of the leading econometrics and applied economics journals, including Journal of Econometrics, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Econometric Reviews, Empirical Economics, and Applied Economics.

Education

Ph D: Washington University St. Louis, 1989 (Economics)

MS: Bristol University Bristol, UK, 1983 (Quantitative Economics)

BA: University of West England (formally Bristol Polytechnic) Bristol, UK, 1982 (Economics)

Research and Practice Interests

Time series econometrics, Bayesian inference and statistical hypothesis testing.

Positions and Work Experience

1988 -1992 Assistant Professor, Florida State University,

Research Support

Investigators:Mills, Jeffrey -2007 Faculty Development Council, University of Cincinnati Econometrics Workshop on Bayesian Inference. 6500 Type:Grant Level:The University of Cincinnati

Investigators:Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe -2001 Taft Research Foundation, University of Cincinnati An Analysis of Trends in Income Distribution and Inequality in Canada 10000 Type:Grant Level:The University of Cincinnati

Investigators:Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe -2000 Canadian Studies Faculty Research Grant Program, Canadian Emabassy An Analysis of Trends in Income Distribution and Inequality in Canada. 10000 Type:Grant Level:Other

Abbreviated Publications

Book Chapter

S. Zandvakili (2002). The Economics of Poverty and Inequality. In Frank A. Cowell (Eds.), Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality Edward Elgar Publishing.

. System-Theoretic Methods in Economic Modelling, Vol. IV. In S. Mittnik (Eds.), Making Inflexible Investment Decisions With Incomplete Information Oxford: Pergamon Press.

Other Publication

with S. Sivaganesan (2001). Econometrics: An Annotated Bibliography. International Society for Bayesian Analysis Bulletin, 7, 21-24.

with S. Zandvakili (2000). The Redistributional Implications of Tax and Transfer Programs in US. Proceedings of the 56th Congress of International Institute of Public Finance 845-866.

with S. Zandvakili (1998). Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping: an Application to the Distributional Implications of Taxes and Transfer Programs in the US. Proceedings of the American Statistical Association 101-106.

Peer Reviewed Publications

with P. Cashel-Cordo & S. Mujumdar (2005). Is Export-Led Industrial Development a Viable Policy? Some Empirical Evidence. Global Business and Finance Review, 10.

with S. Zandvakili (2004). Analysis of Gender Based Family Income Inequality in Canada. Applied Economics Letters, 11, 469-472.

with D. Gray & S. Zandvakili (2004). An Analysis of Differential Provincial Income Inequality: Trends in Canada. Research on Economic Inequality, 12, 449-467.

with D. Gray & S. Zandvakili (2003). Statistical Analysis of Inequality with Decompositions: the Canadian Experience. Empirical Economics, 28, 291-302.

with S. Zandvakili (2003). The Distributional Effects of US Tax and Transfer Policy on the Household. Research on Economic Inequality, 10, 195-212.

with N. Williams (2001). The Minimum Wage and Teenage Employment: Evidence from Time Series. Applied Economics, 33, 285-300.

with R. Grewal, R. Mehta & S. Mujumdar (2001). Using Cointegration Analysis for Modeling Marketing Interactions in Dynamic Environments: Methodological Issues and an Empirical Illustration. Journal of Business Research, 51, 127-144.

with S. Zandvakili (2001). The Redistributional Implications of Tax and Transfer Programs in US. Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 41, 167-181.

with K. Roy & N. Williams (1999). Recent Minimum Wage Increases and the Minimum Wage Labor Force. Journal of Labor Research, XX, 479-492.

with N. Williams (1998). Minimum Wage Effects by Gender. Journal of Labor Research, XIX, 397-414.

with S. Zandvakili (1997). Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 12, 133-150.

with R. Holcombe (1995). Politics and Deficit Finance. Public Finance Quarterly, 23, 448-466.

with R. Holcombe (1994). Is Revenue-Neutral Tax Reform Revenue Neutral?. Public Finance Quarterly, 22, 65-85.

(1992). Bayesian Prediction Tests for Structural Stability. Journal of Econometrics, 52, 381-388.

with K. Prasad (1992). A Comparison of Model Selection Criteria. Econometric Reviews, 11(2), 201-233.

(1992). Making Inflexible Investment Decisions With Incomplete Information. Computers and Mathematics with Applications, 24(8, 9), 247-258.

with J. Payne (1991). Structural Change and Yugoslavian Consumption in the 1980s. Economic Analysis and Workers' Management, XXV(3), 277-288.

(1988). The Bayesian Learning Model of Expectations as a Solution to the Lucas Critique: Some Empirical Evidence. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 11, 396-401.

Publications

Published Abstracts

Mills, Jeffrey A Bayesian Test for Heteroskedasticity .[Abstract]

Mills, Jeffrey An Axiomatic Characterization of Statistical Inference .[Abstract]

Cornwall, Gary;Mills, Jeffrey;Sauley, Beau;Weng, Huibin Bayesian Predictive Inference for Granger Causality .[Abstract]

Mills, Jeffrey;Namavari, Hamed Objective Bayesian ANOVA Testing .[Abstract]

Mills, Jeffrey;Parent, Olivier Testing for Stationarity in Panels with Small T .[Abstract]

Mills, Jeffrey;Cornwall, Gary;Namavari, Hamed The Econometrics of Learning-by-Doing.

Other Publications

Mills, Jeffrey An Axiomatic Characterization of Bayesian Learning .

Mills, Jeffrey An Objective Bayesian Unit Root Test .

Mills, Jeffrey; Namavari, Hamed Objective Bayesian ANOVA Testing.

Mills, Jeffrey; Namavari, Hamed Objective Bayesian Cointegration Testing.

Cornwall, Gary; Mills, Jeffrey; Sauley, Beau; Weng, Huibin Bayesian predictive inference for Granger Causality . Advances in Econometrics

Mills, Jeffrey; Cornwall, Gary; Namavari, Hamed The Econometrics of Learning-By-Doing. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics

Mills, Jeffrey; Strawn, Jeffrey R Non-Inferiority and Equivalence Testing in Clinical Trials: A Bayesian Approach. Statistics in Medicine

Mills, Jeffrey; Cornwall, Gary; Sauley, Beau; Strawn, Jeffrey R Improving the Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials: a Posterior Simulation Approach. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A

Mills, Jeffrey Objective Bayesian Precise Hypothesis Testing . Bayesian Analysis

Strawn, Jeffrey R; Mills, Jeffrey; Sauley, Beau A; Welge, jeffrey A (02-2018. ) The Impact of Antidepressant Dose and Class on Treatment Response in Pediatric Anxiety Disorders: A Meta-Analysis. 57 (4 ) , Journal of the American Academy of Child & Adolescent Psychiatry

Strawn, Jeffrey R; Mills, Jeffrey; Cornwall, Gary; Mossman, Sarah A; Varney, Sara T; Keeshin, Brooks R; Croakin, Paul E (02-2018. ) Buspirone in Children and Adolescents with Anxiety: A Review and Bayesian Analysis of Abandoned Randomized Controlled Trials. .28 (1 ) , Journal of Child and Adolescent Psychopharmacology.

Strawn, Jeffrey R; Vollmer, Lauren L; McMurray, Katherine M; Mills, Jeffrey; Mossman, Sarah A; Varney, Sara T; Schroeder, Heidi K; Sah, Renu (2018. ) Acid-sensing T cell death associated gene-8 receptor expression in panic disorder. 67 , Brain, Behavior and Immunity

Strawn, Jeffrey R; Dobson, Eric T; Mills, Jeffrey; Cornwall, Gary; Salosky, Dara J; Birmaher, Boris; Compton, Scott; Piacentini, John (08-2017. ) Placebo Response in Pedriatic Anxiety Disorders: Results from the Child/Adolescent Anxiety Multimodal Study (CAMS). 27 (6 ) , Journal Adolescent and Child Psychopharmacology

Zandvakili, Sourushe; Mills, Jeffrey; Gray, D. Immigration, Assimilation and Inequality of Income Distribution in Canada .

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe; Gray, David (2012. ) New perspectives on Canadian national and regional income inequality .35 , Canadian Journal of Regional Science

Mills, Jeffrey; Mujumdar, Sudesh; Cashel-Cordo, Peter (2005. ) Is Export-Led Industrial Development a Viable Policy? Some Empirical Evidence .10 (1 ) , Global Business and Finance Review

Mills, Jeffrey; Gray, David; Zandvakili, Sourushe (2004. ) An Analysis of Differential Provincial Income Inequality: Trends in Canada .12 , Research on Economic Inequality

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe (2004. ) Analysis of Gender Based Family Income Inequality in Canada .11 , Applied Economics Letters

Zandvakili, Sourushe; Mills, Jeffrey (2003. ) [Reprint] Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality .158 , The Economics of Poverty and Inequality: The International Library of Critical Writings in Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe; Gray, David (2003. ) Statistical Analysis of Inequality with Decompositions: the Canadian Experience .28 , Empirical Economics

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe (2003. ) The Distributional Effects of US Tax and Transfer Policy on the Household .10 , Research on Economic Inequality

Mills, Jeffrey; Williams, Nicolas (2001. ) The Minimum Wage and Teenage Employment: Evidence from Time Series .33 , Applied Economics

Mills, Jeffrey; Mehta, Raj; Grewal, R; Mujumdar, Sudesh (2001. ) Using Cointegration Analysis for Modeling Marketing Interactions in Dynamic Environments: Methodological Issues and an Empirical Illustration .51 , Journal of Business Research

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe (2000. ) The Redistributional Implications of Tax and Transfer Programs in US .41 , Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance

Mills, Jeffrey; Williams, Nicolas; Roy, Kakoli (1999. ) Recent Minimum Wage Increases and the Minimum Wage Labor Force .20 , Journal of Labor Research

Mills, Jeffrey; Williams, Nicolas (1998. ) Minimum Wage Effects by Gender .19 , Journal of Labor Research

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe (1998. ) Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping: an Application to the Distributional Implications of Taxes and Transfer Programs in the US . Proceedings of the American Statistical Association

Mills, Jeffrey; Zandvakili, Sourushe (1997. ) Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality .12 , Journal of Applied Econometrics

Mills, Jeffrey; Holcombe, Randall (1995. ) Politics and Deficit Finance .23 , Public Finance Quarterly

Mills, Jeffrey; Holcombe, Randall (1994. ) Is Revenue-Neutral Tax Reform Revenue Neutral? .22 , Public Finance Quarterly

Mills, Jeffrey; Prasad, Kislaya (1992. ) A Comparison of Model Selection Criteria .11 (2 ) , Econometric Reviews

Mills, Jeffrey (1992. ) Bayesian Prediction Tests for Structural Stability .52 , Journal of Econometrics

Mills, Jeffrey (1992. ) Making Inflexible Investment Decisions With Incomplete Information .24 , Computers and Mathematics with Applications

Mills, Jeffrey; Payne, James (1991. ) Structural Change and Yugoslavian Consumption in the 1980s .25 (3 ) , Economic Analysis and Workers" Management

Mills, Jeffrey (1988. ) The Bayesian Learning Model of Expectations as a Solution to the Lucas Critique: Some Empirical Evidence .11 , Mathematical and Computer Modeling

Book Chapter

Mills, Jeffrey; Parent, Olivier (2014 ) Bayesian MCMC inference for spatial models Handbook of Regional Science, Springer

Additional Publications

Presentations

Invited Presentations

Mills, Jeffrey (04-2018. ) Bayesian Hypothesis Testing without Tears. Dept. of Economics, Univ. of Kansas seminar series, Department of Economics, University of Kansas, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS. Seminar. . Level:International

Mills, Jeffrey; Cornwall, Gary; Sauley, Beau; Weng, Huibin (03-2017. ) Bayesian predictive inference for Granger Causality .Midwest Economics Association Annual Meeting, Midwest Economics Association, Cincinnati, OH. Conference. . Level:International

Mills, Jeffrey (04-2012. ) Bayesian Precise Hypothesis Testing. Dept. of Economics, Purdue University seminar series, Dept. of Economics, Purdue University, Purdue University, IN. Seminar. . Level:International

Paper Presentations

(04-2008. ) Bayes Factors for Testing Precise Hypotheses .Chicago.

(10-2007. ) How to Test Precise Hypotheses If We Must? .St. Louis.

(06-2007. ) Objective Bayes Factors for Precise Hypothesis Testing .St. Louis.

(05-2003. ) An Analysis of Differential Provincial Income Inequality Trends in Canada .Ottawa, Canada.

(05-2003. ) New Perspectives on Canadian National and Regional Income Inequality .Helsinki, Finland.

(10-2002. ) The Combined Evidence on Employment Effects of the Minimum Wage: A Hierarchical Bayes Approach .Columbus.

(05-2002. ) Immigration, Assimilation and Inequality of Income Distribution in Canada .Calgary.

(01-2002. ) The Heterogeneity of Minimum Wage Effects Across States .Atlanta.

(07-2001. ) Individual Exemptions and Distributional Implications of Taxes and Transfers .San Francisco.

(01-2001. ) The Role of Exemptions in Distributional Implications of Taxes and Transfers in the U.S. New Orleans.

(03-1999. ) The Effects of Tax Policy on Income Inequality in the US .Nashville.

(08-1998. ) Distributional Implications of Taxes and Transfer Programs in the US .Dallas.

(10-1997. ) Is the Exchange Rate a Threshold Cointegrated Process? .Honolulu.

(03-1997. ) A Framework to Investigate the Impact of Advertising, Economic Environment, and Political-Legal Environment on Sales .UC-Berkeley, CA.

(11-1996. ) Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality .Washington, DC.

(08-1996. ) Consensus Ranking of US Income Distributions: A Bootstrap Application of Tests for Stochastic Dominance .Istanbul.

(08-1996. ) Statistical Inference via Bootstrapping for Measures of Inequality .Istanbul.

(08-1995. ) Downtown Cincinnati Metered Parking and Urban Policy Objectives .Cincinnati.

(03-1995. ) Undoing the No-Trade Theorem .Cincinnati.

(11-1994. ) Politics and Deficit Finance .Orlando.

(03-1994. ) Bootstrapping Interval Estimates for Measures of Inequality .Chicago.

(03-1994. ) Specification of Unemployment Duration Models: Sensitivity Issues .Chicago.

(04-1992. ) Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of Duration Models .St. Louis.

(03-1992. ) Bayesian Nonparametric Estimation of Duration Models .Chicago.

(12-1991. ) Rational Learning and the Dollar Behavior During the 1980's .New Orleans.

(11-1991. ) The Government Budget Constraint .Nashville.

(11-1991. ) An Axiomatic Characterization of Inference and Learning .Nashville.

(11-1991. ) Rational Learning and the Dollar Behavior During the 1980's .Nashville.

(11-1990. ) A Comparison of Model Selection Criteria .New Orleans.

(11-1990. ) Bayesian Nonlinear Estimation .New Orleans.

(08-1990. ) Prediction Tests for Structural Stability in Nonstationary Time Series .Barcelona.

(09-2009. ) A Robust Bayesian Unit Root Test .Purdue University.

Honors and Awards

2006 Fellow of the Midwest Econometrics Group Honor received for contributions to the field of econometrics and for continued participation in presenting papers and organizing the Midwest Econometrics Group annual meetings. Level:International Type:Service, Professional

Service

Taft Research Center Director Search Committee Committee Member Type:University Level:University 08-2018

Taft Executive Board Committee Member Type:University Level:University 2012

Economics Department Executive Committee Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 2015

PhD program committee Committee Chair Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 2011

Speakers Committee Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 2010

Graduate Program Committee Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 1996

Macroeconomics search committee (Evaluate all job applications, meet with the committee to select interviewees. Attend the job convention and interview candidates. Select candidates for on campus interviews. Interview on campus, attend seminars, etc. ) Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 10-2013 -02-2014

AERI Executive Committee Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 2004 -2011

Macroeconomics Search Committee Committee Member Type:Departmental Service Level:Department 2007 -2010

College of Business Research Committee Committee Member Type:University/College Service Level:University 08-2018

College of Business Doctoral Committee Committee Member Type:University/College Service Level:University 2010

Department Head Search Committee Committee Member Type:University/College Service Level:University 2007 -2008

Midwest Econometrics Group (Organized the Annual Meeting, held at the University of Cincinnati, 2006 ) Program Organizer Type:Prof. Org. Level:Service to Professional Associations 2006 -2006

Keywords

Econometrics; time series; Bayesian inference

Courses Taught

BAYESIAN ECM

INTRO ECONOMETRICS

PHD DISS.

MASTER"S INTERNSHIP

MASTERS PRACTICUM

MASTERS THESIS

PHD DISS.

ECONOMETRICSI

INTROECONOMETRICS

PHDDISS.

MASTERS INTERNSHIP

MASTERS PRACTICUM

MASTERS THESIS

PHD DISS

PHD RESEARCH

BAYESIAN ECM

INTRO ECONOMETRICS

MASTERS THESIS

PHD DISS.

TIME SERIES ECM

INTRO ECONOMETRICS

MASTER"S INTERNSHIP

MASTERS GUIDED RES

MASTERS THESIS

PHD DISS.

PHD RESEARCH

MASTER"S INTERNSHIP

MASTERS PRACTICUM

PHD DISS.

PHD RESEARCH

Advanced Econometrics II

Bayesian Econometrics

PhD Dissertation Research

Time Series Econometrics

Econometrics I

Introduction to Econometrics

PhD Dissertation Research

Introduction to Econometrics

Master"s Internship

Masters Research Practicum

PhD Dissertation Research

Bayesian Econometrics

Introduction to Econometrics

PhD Dissertation Research

Time Series Econometrics

ECON CAPSTONE

INTRO ECONOMETRICS

PHD RESEARCH

MASTER"S INTERNSHIP

MASTERS PRACTICUM

PHD RESEARCH

ADV ECONOMETRICS II

PHD RESEARCH

TIME SERIES ECM

Econometrics I

Introduction to Econometrics

Money and Banking

PhD Research in Economics

Introduction to Macroeconomics

Masters Research Practicum

Intro to Econometrics

Masters Guided Individual Research

Time Series Econometrics

Intro to Econometrics

Masters Special Topics

Intro to Macroeconomics

Money, Banking, and the Economy

Economic Data Analysis III

Stat Infer & Econ I

Economic Data Analysis II

Intro to Applied Econometrics

Applied Economic Forecasting

Economic Data Analysis II

Money, Banking, and the Economy

Economic Data Analysis II

Economic Data Analysis III

Intro to Applied Econometrics

Intro to Applied Econometrics

Teaching Asst Practicum for UG Students

Applied Economic Forecasting

Intro to Applied Econometrics

Teaching Asst Practicum for UG Students

Intro to Macroeconomics

Faculty Development Activities

06-03-2011 -06-03-2011 Distance Learning: Succeeding at Threaded Discussions “Succeeding in Distance Learning: How to Run Threaded Discussions and Chatrooms” Friday, June 3rd, 12:00pm – 1:30pm, LH 108 , College of Business, University of Cincinnati Cincinnati Type:Workshop